Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.046146 0.050192 0.054292 0.058751 0.063455 0.068265 0.073548
2025-01-26 0.039237 0.045120 0.051300 0.058252 0.065827 0.073807 0.082821
2025-02-02 0.034399 0.041614 0.049445 0.058516 0.068673 0.079639 0.092313
2025-02-09 0.031074 0.039360 0.048620 0.059625 0.072235 0.086131 0.102493
2025-02-16 0.029137 0.038435 0.049090 0.062031 0.077151 0.094091 0.114340
2025-02-23 0.025069 0.034632 0.045907 0.059932 0.076661 0.095742 0.118909
2025-03-02 0.022316 0.032171 0.044095 0.059247 0.077652 0.098967 0.125192
2025-03-09 0.020069 0.030144 0.042640 0.058836 0.078840 0.102328 0.131573
2025-03-16 0.019186 0.029785 0.043188 0.060832 0.082906 0.109096 0.141997
2025-03-23 0.018029 0.028961 0.043066 0.061926 0.085823 0.114471 0.150773
2025-03-30 0.016875 0.028048 0.042750 0.062711 0.088314 0.119309 0.158910
2025-04-06 0.015372 0.026538 0.041553 0.062276 0.089207 0.122150 0.164603
2025-04-13 0.014437 0.025800 0.041383 0.063206 0.091892 0.127300 0.173269
2025-04-20 0.013092 0.024368 0.040189 0.062718 0.092719 0.130126 0.179090
2025-04-27 0.012122 0.023424 0.039615 0.063016 0.094537 0.134186 0.186458
2025-05-04 0.011509 0.022979 0.039707 0.064193 0.097495 0.139694 0.195660
2025-05-11 0.011343 0.023222 0.040781 0.066730 0.102276 0.147563 0.207885
2025-05-18 0.009864 0.021239 0.038514 0.064525 0.100653 0.147165 0.209638
2025-05-25 0.008914 0.020046 0.037346 0.063806 0.100979 0.149247 0.214517
2025-06-01 0.008116 0.019047 0.036415 0.063374 0.101659 0.151765 0.219944
2025-06-08 0.007972 0.019183 0.037227 0.065475 0.105836 0.158897 0.231350
2025-06-15 0.007621 0.018919 0.037397 0.066626 0.108698 0.164309 0.240565
2025-06-22 0.007223 0.018538 0.037358 0.067452 0.111103 0.169124 0.249029